XRP could surge over 1,000% again as gold shows signs of exhaustion. Here’s why history might repeat itself for XRP and the crypto market.

XRP and Gold: A Historic Connection Signals a New Bull Run

In recent months, the cryptocurrency market has grappled with an extended period of consolidation, leaving investors wondering when the next breakout might occur. Bitcoin (BTC) has oscillated near the $80,000 range, while XRP has worked to sustain levels above $2. However, while crypto struggled, gold – the traditional safe-haven asset – has been on an absolute tear. Gold’s parabolic ascent to new all-time highs has reignited discussions among analysts and traders about a potential crypto market resurgence. If historical patterns are any indicator, XRP could be on the cusp of another explosive rally, potentially mirroring its prior 1,000% surge during a similar gold cycle.

Gold’s Recent Outperformance Sparks Optimism for Crypto Recovery

Since October 2023, gold has been on an unstoppable upward trajectory, defying broader market pressures fueled by ongoing trade tensions and macroeconomic uncertainty. Over a period of 18 months, gold soared by an impressive 89%, culminating in a record-breaking price of $3,500 per ounce in April 2025. During this time, the crypto sector underperformed by comparison, with Bitcoin and altcoins, including XRP, stuck in stagnant trading ranges.

However, the tides appear to be turning. Gold recently experienced a slight pullback, shedding about 5% from its peak and currently trading near $3,300. Coinciding with gold’s cooling phase, Bitcoin has staged a strong recovery, jumping back to $95,000 after an 11% surge this week. According to Fundstrat’s Tom Lee, this emerging trend could be the beginning of a broader crypto uptrend, suggesting that XRP may be well-positioned to benefit as capital rotates from traditional safe havens into higher-risk digital assets.

Historical Patterns: How XRP Surged 1,000% After Gold’s 2020 Peak

History offers compelling evidence that XRP’s fortunes could soon change dramatically. During the last major gold bull market from October 2018 to August 2020, the precious metal gained 72%, reaching a new peak of $2,075. At that time, the cryptocurrency market, including XRP, faced bearish conditions. However, once gold began its post-peak pullback in August 2020, crypto assets staged an extraordinary comeback.

XRP was among the standout performers, skyrocketing from a low of $0.1751 to a peak of $1.96 by April 2021 — a jaw-dropping 1,019% increase. Notably, this incredible rise happened even amidst the uncertainty of the SEC lawsuit against Ripple. The parallels between that cycle and the current market setup are too significant to ignore, suggesting the potential for history to repeat itself.

Adding further weight to this theory is gold’s current monthly RSI (Relative Strength Index). During the 2018–2020 rally, gold’s RSI climbed from 40 to 84, a reading that traditionally signals an impending trend reversal. Today, gold’s RSI mirrors that same pattern, having jumped from 50 to 85, reinforcing the narrative that the precious metal could soon give way to renewed strength in risk assets like cryptocurrencies.

XRP’s Current Position: Is the Next Parabolic Run Imminent?

As of now, XRP is trading at around $2.18, showing resilience but lagging behind Bitcoin’s recent surge. However, this positioning may actually be advantageous for those anticipating a major move. If XRP mirrors its 2020/2021 performance, a 1,000% rally from current levels would see it soar to approximately $24.

Market sentiment is increasingly aligning with this possibility. Bitcoin advocate Davinci Jeremie — typically a vocal XRP skeptic — recently acknowledged the potential for XRP to hit $24 this year. Meanwhile, prominent analyst EGRAG Crypto has set even higher targets, forecasting a move to $27.

Importantly, unlike in 2021, XRP is currently nearing a resolution to its long-standing legal battle with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). A favorable outcome could provide the extra catalyst needed to ignite a more powerful and sustainable rally, possibly exceeding the gains seen during the previous cycle.

Macro Environment: Why This Time Could Be Even Bigger for XRP

Today’s macroeconomic environment is different — and arguably even more supportive of a massive XRP breakout. Institutional adoption of cryptocurrencies has grown substantially, regulatory clarity is gradually emerging, and mainstream interest in blockchain technology is at an all-time high.

Additionally, the exhaustion in gold’s rally and its high RSI suggest investors are ready to move capital into more volatile, high-reward assets. Cryptocurrencies like XRP, especially with pending regulatory wins, fit this narrative perfectly. If institutions begin reallocating even a fraction of their gold gains into crypto markets, XRP could benefit significantly.

Historical behavior, current technical indicators, and improving fundamentals all point to an optimistic outlook for XRP. While caution is always warranted in volatile markets, the signs are clear: XRP could be on the verge of a historic rally that echoes — or even surpasses — its previous 1,000% gain.

XRP’s Setup Mirrors Past Explosive Growth

In light of gold’s parabolic performance and subsequent pullback, parallels to previous cycles suggest that XRP could be primed for another monumental rally. The technical indicators, historical context, and improving market sentiment all align to present a compelling case for bullish XRP price action in 2025.

While no outcome is guaranteed in the ever-volatile crypto market, the evidence points toward a strong possibility that XRP could soon experience significant upward momentum, with potential price targets reaching as high as $24–$27.

Investors and traders should keep a close eye on market developments, especially as gold’s retracement continues and crypto regains strength. XRP’s next big move may be closer than many expect.

FAQs

1. Why does gold’s price movement impact XRP and crypto markets?
Gold often signals broader market risk sentiment. When gold peaks and pulls back, investors tend to seek riskier, high-reward assets like cryptocurrencies, benefiting coins like XRP.

2. How high could XRP go if it follows its previous cycle?
If XRP mirrors its 2020/2021 performance, a 1,000% rally from current levels could see it reach around $24–$27.

3. What role does the SEC lawsuit play in XRP’s future price?
The ongoing SEC lawsuit against Ripple has limited XRP’s growth. A favorable resolution could remove a major barrier and open the floodgates for institutional investment.

4. Is now a good time to buy XRP?
While historical patterns suggest potential upside, investing in crypto remains risky. Always conduct thorough research and consider your risk tolerance before investing.

5. Could gold’s continued rise delay XRP’s rally?
If gold maintains strong upward momentum without significant pullback, it might delay a full-scale crypto rally. However, current indicators suggest gold is entering a cooling phase.